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80%
Any idea where this is coming from? That’s high (and scary).
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Can anyone explain (to most lay of laymen) the scientific reasons for our govts current approach? I tried to find the full briefing but only caught bits on the beeb. They seemed to be saying we need to flatten the curve but now wasn’t the time and we need more people to be infected before it’s worth bothering trying to flatten the curve. Or something.
miro_o
Tonts
@mashton
In the CMO briefing earlier today, he quoted the reasonable worst case infection rate of the UK at 80%. Presumably this is unlikely but possible.
He also quotes their best estimate of mortality at 1%. This number seemed much firmer.
So, worst case is over half a million deaths in the UK.