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Interested in what you say here:
"However, I think- despite the bed situation looking bleak from the outside(and inside)- that the nature of the NHS puts us in an excellent position for better outcomes."
What is it about the NHS's nature?
For me the worrying stuff is the pressure it puts on hospitals. Italy (especially the richer north) is said to have an advanced health care system and yet they apparently don't have enough ventilators and have to choose who gets them. And what happens to the run of the mill day to day emergencies like heart attacks/strokes/other trauma...
Having been involved in triage many times- it’s never as simple as the math would like it to be.
I don’t envy my ITU, medical or A&E colleagues at the moment.
Not 100% what the next month or so brings for us as surgeons.
However, I think- despite the bed situation looking bleak from the outside(and inside)- that the nature of the NHS puts us in an excellent position for better outcomes.
On a side note I think the government and exec have missed a vital opportunity to train a huge potential workforce (med students, nursing students, FY1s), as well as increasing physical capacity(4 floors of a hospital I used to work at are built and empty- for example)- in the period since containment to Hubei had passed.
Fire-fighting remains our mainstay, and lessons must be learnt from this.