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GoatandTricycle
Having been involved in triage many times- it’s never as simple as the math would like it to be.
I don’t envy my ITU, medical or A&E colleagues at the moment.
Not 100% what the next month or so brings for us as surgeons.
However, I think- despite the bed situation looking bleak from the outside(and inside)- that the nature of the NHS puts us in an excellent position for better outcomes.
On a side note I think the government and exec have missed a vital opportunity to train a huge potential workforce (med students, nursing students, FY1s), as well as increasing physical capacity(4 floors of a hospital I used to work at are built and empty- for example)- in the period since containment to Hubei had passed.
Fire-fighting remains our mainstay, and lessons must be learnt from this.