• I hate to support that man, but he’s possibly right.

    Our basis for the rates(as I stated way back) is what is confirmable, and as such, likely to represent a symptomatic only cohort.

    From this we get deaths, of which some of them are possibly not deaths due to Coronavirus (as the confirmed death definition shifted to include pneumonia-adjacent deaths a while back).

    Given both of these things (especially as there is likely a significant cohort of minor/ no/ alternate mild symptomatology) the mortality rate can be seen as likely to be inflated.

    So, yes 3.4% is possibly overestimated, not sure under 1% is a logical conclusion, but given that plenty of creditable sources are using a figure around 1%, its not the standard nonsense he spouts.

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