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@Greenbank
Models a pandemic with R0 of 1.8 and 2% mortality rate with an up to date model of movement and interaction. Results are 43 million infected within 3 months and ~800k deaths.
Model rerun with everyone (100%) of people washing their hands properly at an increased frequency and results were 30 million infected (and still 2% of those dying, so ~600k) but over a much longer period (almost a year) so much less acute stress on the NHS as it is more spread out.
Obviously those figures for R0 and mortality rate are (I believe) above those of Covid-19 although no-one really knows the true values of those figures yet.