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Oops, yes you're right. But that's the thing we definitely don't know right now - what percentage of the population will get it. So I don't think we can make predictions there.
But if say 50% of the 600 people you know get something with a 1% mortality rate that's three people.
Personally I'm hoping the weather gets better. This is peak months for flu activity in the U.S. 1982-1983 through 2017-2018:
Fox
I thought the 1% was mortality of those with the virus, not the general population?
Might be wrong though.