You are reading a single comment by @Chalfie and its replies.
Click here to read the full conversation.
-
Sorry. I'm not a scientist and I'm no good at maths. Can you fix pls?
-
Phil Hammond , for it is him, is a very engaged, fair, and evidence based person.
That's good. I just had a look at his Twitter, he seems sensible. I had presumed it was yet another Eye column written by someone hiding behind a pen name. I have dealt with them professionally enough to know that they don't let the facts get in the way of a good story.
Fox
@Chalfie
You're comparing two different rates at the moment you know that right?
Mortality is when it's all over.
You need to use the case fatality rate (CFR). While technically they might look the same, number of deaths divided by number of cases, they're not really. We don't know the number of cases, for many reasons. China. Asymptomatic. People not going to get tested. Misdiagnosis. Changing case definition(normal). Different populations.
So you'll need to do some rate ratio / rate / attack rate etc comparisons.
To call md disengenious is a bit, erm, misleading? Phil Hammond , for it is him, is a very engaged, fair, and evidence based person.
Yes. It is a worry. Yes. There is very little you can do, apart from wash your hands, don't go to mass gatherings, don't panic buy, don't travel unnecessarily.
The mortality rate is :
Number of deaths / number of cases