You are reading a single comment by @deleted and its replies.
Click here to read the full conversation.
London Fixed Gear and Single-Speed is a community of predominantly fixed gear and single-speed cyclists in and around London, UK.
This site is supported almost exclusively by donations. Please consider donating a small amount regularly.
@deleted
Some Imperial MRC research suggested a doubling time of 6 days, which I think was borne out in early February in Wuhan until the control measures took effect. If you assume the number of cases in Italy is materially under reported and is somewhere nearer 2-3k, then you are on course to hit over 100k cases by end of March, unless control measures are similarly effective to those in Hubei.
I guess, the 6 day doubling time could be specific to the social and environmental conditions in China. I hope so.