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I'm not fully convinced by your analysis, plenty of people anticipated that Johnson would be willing to sacrifice NI to get some kind of deal.
However, regardless of that, do you not think that the ERG is marginalised enough that an extension could be pushed through by the Tories if it was deemed necessary. That hefty majority should mean that this kind of thing is a bit easier.
There isn't an election coming up any time soon so they can get away with pissing off some Brexit voters (and let's be honest, failing on his previous pledges to leave had no impact at the ballot box).
What is the membership of the ERG, and how many of the new intake of MP's are RWNJ?
The tories have been split by Europe for what, the last 30 years - bring the transition extension into focus and they'll split on it again I reckon.
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Dammit
aggi
I'm not fully convinced by your analysis, plenty of people anticipated that Johnson would be willing to sacrifice NI to get some kind of deal.
However, regardless of that, do you not think that the ERG is marginalised enough that an extension could be pushed through by the Tories if it was deemed necessary. That hefty majority should mean that this kind of thing is a bit easier.
There isn't an election coming up any time soon so they can get away with pissing off some Brexit voters (and let's be honest, failing on his previous pledges to leave had no impact at the ballot box).