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There's absolutely no guarantee that those things will happen. Economic demise is probably 50/50
50/50 based on what? The economic profession does not share that view. As @dammit says, this will make us poorer, compared to not leaving. What isn't clear is how much
What do you think their reaction is going to be to the loss of Airbus, steel manufacturing, hill farming, and fishing, plus the abrupt loss of inward investment- blame the EU?