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Completely agree and with best guess from John Curtis being a 50 seat majority we are looking at a thumping majority for a party that an effective leader could defeat.
Add that in North Herefordshire the Labour candidate address is simply Birmingham. When I queried why a local candidate wasn’t on offer (Tory, Green, Lib Dem all have north Herefordshire addresses), I was told “well, he used to live in Abergavenny”. With that reasoning it seemed futile to point out that as well as also not being in Herefordshire, it was also in another country. Still, given massive majority in the constituency it’s all a bit moot
Big_Ted-
we are looking at a thumping majority for a party that an effective leader could defeat.
I don't buy this at all. What we are seeing is a Tory vote bloc that is firmly tied to Brexit. It's unclear to me how anyone, not matter how effective, would be able to eat in to that (without also being pro-Brexit).
Corbyn has fucked this campaign up. He and/or his advisors refusal to see that nuance is (currently) dead in politics is destroying them. I have some sympathy for his position and it is good to see that someone has convictions and sticks to them, but in the current political climate it's an unelectable stance.
On Brexit the refusal to answer direct questions about how he would campaign looked shifty and could have been handled so much better.
On anti-semitism the lack of apology and lack of clear action is disastrous.
His style of leadership is completely at odds with what people want to see now. They know Johnson lies, but he does it with conviction and doubles down if challenged. Everything is so polarised, having a strong 'position' is more important than what the position is. Black and white - no room for nuance. Corbyn's tactics are 20 years out of date and rely on the (misplaced IMO) hope that a grassroots upswell will happen at the last minute.
It's going to be a tory landslide.