• I think it'll be a contest of coalitions - if BXP and Tories have an agreement (and some are saying that this is a done deal) whilst Labour, LD and SNP don't then it'll be a Johnson win.

    If Labour/LD/SNP manage to come to an agreement and campaign for something less confusing than Labour's "we'll get a better deal from Brussels and then campaign against it in a second referendum" AND the alliance of BXP and Tory drives the last of the centre-right away, then it'll be the end of Johnson (and maybe Keir Starmer as Prime Minister?)

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