• Even in the case of no Brexit there is no way the Brexit party will be become any kind of major player. They couldn't even win in Peterborough which is a Brexit heart land, they have no party infrastructure to fight a general election in any real way.

    They might be second or third in a shit load of constituency and get a load of votes but like UKIP before them they'll fail to make any real impact in a first past the post system.

  • I disagree.
    I do think they will suffer from lack of infrastructure, but the streams of dodgy cash they can call on will mitigate that a bit. They peaked at 20%+ in the polls back in July and if Brexit doesn't happen they will hoover up the rest of the 30% who favour no-deal from the conservatives. The tipping point to start winning seats is somewhere around mid to late 20's IIRC. No-one really knows what would happen in a 4 party race but I'd be pretty worried.

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