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I agree that they are likely to do less rather than more, but Smith has shown a bit more aggression in selection than recent history. Ali bowled OK in the first innings, the issue was the second innings when he should have been really challenging to play but just wasn’t. The other thing that may play in his favour is that leach hasn’t bowled much over the last few weeks.
Sam_w
I would go with your first XI there, but in reality I think they're very unlikely to make more than two changes - so Archer and Leach for Jimmy and Mo. Every chance they'll only make the one enforced change and give Mo another chance. I wasn't able to watch much but from reports he bowled reasonably well in the first innings?