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I hope it won't come to this. Right now...I can't estimate the odds. Nearer 31 October though...I hope we won't reach this while hidden in a shed somewhere with candles, dollars, tinned food and a windup radio.
Time to open a euro account.
A mate of mine is diabetic...I better tell him to stock up. Just...in case.
The insanity of this is that the UK loses much much much more than they ever gain...yes they'll get rich. But not hundreds of billions rich.
(And I'm not even factoring in loss of life here... )
This country is now being run by ideologically-driven disaster capitalists, supported by increasingly fanatical ethnonationalists. When we crash out and things start failing, they're not going to acknowledge their mistakes, they're going to blame everybody else. So there's no reason to expect rational reactions to problems, there's every reason to expect them to double down. All presided over by a clown who has already declared war on Europe, wearing a tin helmet and invoking the spirit of the blitz.
Yes, it could get that bad. Bannon would be delighted.