You are reading a single comment by @rhb and its replies.
Click here to read the full conversation.
London Fixed Gear and Single-Speed is a community of predominantly fixed gear and single-speed cyclists in and around London, UK.
This site is supported almost exclusively by donations. Please consider donating a small amount regularly.
rhb
When is the right time for vote of no confidence leading to an election?
For the LibDems and Brexit the time is right now, they had a surge in the EU election which would result in more seats the sooner the election comes. What Johnson does best is campaign and he is already in campaign mode "love bombing" his opponents seemingly being all things to all people. He is capable of winning Tory voters back from both sides of the divide.
For Johnson the best time to lose a vote of no confidence would be early October. That gives him the "get out of Halloween" card he desperately needs. The failure to deliver Brexit gets blamed on the other parties and the EU. He may have won enough support to be the strongest survivor of a November election. His campaign plans could even include a celebrity wedding to dominate even more of the press coverage.
As for Labour, I really don't know. In 2017 Corbyn showed himself far stronger than the critics expected, he rose above the standard denigration aimed at every Labour leader in opposition and gave millions of people hope. Since then it has all fallen apart. His personal preference for Brexit has him appearing as more of an ally of J Rees-Mogg than the majority of Labour supporters. The failure to understand the risks from the anti-semitism allegations have critically weakened him and the party. Maybe if Parliament manages to block or delay a no-deal exit on 31/10 then maybe Labour will profit from the chaos and recriminations in the Tory party as Boris' cabinet implodes and we get a December election.