• Voting for Brexit wasn’t the reserve of the political right: Well, mostly it was. (if you count the conservatives as right) and voting right is also correlated with age in the UK (the older, the more conservative voters)

    Labour voters are mostly remain, the press zoomed in on Left Labour voters (which do exist) but forgot to mention that in those areas the voters for other parties swung it.

    I think it’s fairly well documented that when populations are scared they historically shift right: In recent European history, I believe so. Looking at some other countries, yes, but you also see a mobilization of the Green party, new parties etc.

    But it is not that Brexit was a massive victory exactly. The conservative party is looking to be buried, UKIP/Brexit party/Conservatives don't hold a majority in the EU votes, on a UK election current voting intentions aren't exactly "yeooo let's all vote Brexit Party" either and the Conservatives may get wiped out

    There is a right swing (I mean Brexit party, yuck....) but it may not be a landslide either as other parties are also gaining over Conservatives and people may not vote Brexit Party cos what will they actually really do like UKIP they may simply not be attractive. We have to wait and see.

  • I think you miss understood my point so I’ll try again.

    Boris being bad for the majority (whilst protecting his base) is of zero political cost to the rightwing of the Conservative party (the members) because the masses move right under the hard times he’s likely to bring in the future.

    This is why members can believe he is both a/ somewhat incompetent, b/ the right candidate.

    Who voted how in the referendum... is just a different conversation I think.

  • They really think he'll win many votes from Farage?

    I'm not really sure that gamble will pay off. It will if be pushed brexit through, maybe, but even then it will mean lots of other voters may mobilize to stop a majority in government for the Conservatives.

    Not sure it's a good long term strategy but the long term thinking seems lacking ATM.

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