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@hugo7
I'm going for BJ and Raab in our office sweepstake.
Guido Fawkes' chart has already moved a fair bit since Friday, with Gove moving from 1st to 2nd:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hLVVTLnTTPIO43qTM7GsGs5GqvQ1UVGKmd_n1B51s5M/htmlview?ts=5ce7aed7&sle=true#gid=0
I think BJ is more likely to pick up the remain MPs as the others drop out than Raab, but my gut says leavers will flow to Raab. For the Tories I've spoken too they're torn over BJ - mayor is one thing, but PM? Yet he does have a strong brand with the population. Regardless of Gove's media ties, even Tories can see he photographs like someone wearing a human suit.
Still tempted by rabid Javid, but he seems too shit an orator to win an election.