• How do MPs force the long extension if the government doesn't want to entertain the idea?

    They can't - May has secured a shorter extension from the EU than she wanted. She wanted June, they gave her May. We can't force the EU to give us longer, but naturally if there was a vote to remain they'd accept that straight away.

    I agree with Andy's analysis, May's even lost her chief whip's confidence and he's being openly critical. That's about as bad as it gets for any PM (or should be).

    I think the MV3 will have to happen first, but a no confidence vote next week is a real possibility. May got 63% on December 12th - a lot has changed since then and it's hard to see how she could survive one. Then the Commons could take control and come up with something sensible by April 12th.

  • Assume you mean a no confidence vote of the house? There can't be a Tory only one, 12m haven't passed since the last. And I wouldn't expect Tories to vote down the govt as that reflects on them too.

  • Yes exactly. But I think quite a lot of Tories would vote no confidence in TM at the moment. At least enough.

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