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  • I'm still not clear on what parliament can do if TM decides she'd prefer no deal over long extension.

    The default remains no deal, and up until recently I still thought TM would blink at that reality, but now I'm not so sure.

    How do MPs force the long extension if the government doesn't want to entertain the idea? How do MPs ensure a vote is binding?

  • How do MPs force the long extension if the government doesn't want to entertain the idea?

    They can't - May has secured a shorter extension from the EU than she wanted. She wanted June, they gave her May. We can't force the EU to give us longer, but naturally if there was a vote to remain they'd accept that straight away.

    I agree with Andy's analysis, May's even lost her chief whip's confidence and he's being openly critical. That's about as bad as it gets for any PM (or should be).

    I think the MV3 will have to happen first, but a no confidence vote next week is a real possibility. May got 63% on December 12th - a lot has changed since then and it's hard to see how she could survive one. Then the Commons could take control and come up with something sensible by April 12th.

  • Assume you mean a no confidence vote of the house? There can't be a Tory only one, 12m haven't passed since the last. And I wouldn't expect Tories to vote down the govt as that reflects on them too.

  • They gave May May ... There's a joke in there somewhere.

  • Then the Commons could take control and come up with something sensible by April 12th.

    What would this be do you think?

  • A friend of mine, a lecturer in a relevant subject at a uni, reckons there will be opportunities for an ammendment to be submitted and voted on that would force the Prime Minister's hand. I have no idea if this is accurate or not.

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