EU referendum, brexit and the aftermath

For a start, May has not even a single shred of authority left now. She is not even a lame duck PM, more a dead duck. The threat of a successful vote of no confidence is very real right now, although a general election is the last thing we need.

MPs need to vote to take control of the order of the HoC, then they can hold a series of votes to work out what steps we should take next. A cross party motion has been put forward proposing exactly this, time for the majority of sensible MPs to assert their authority.

I'm still not clear on what parliament can do if TM decides she'd prefer no deal over long extension.

Some of the reports coming out of the Tory party say that she has already decided that No Deal is better than a long extension. Which fits with her "I'm on your side" protecting-the-referendum mania and gives her a way to flip from feeling a failure - with the defeat of her deal - to feeling she is a victor, forcing Brexit through no matter what.

How do MPs force the long extension if the government doesn't want to entertain the idea?

They can't - May has secured a shorter extension from the EU than she wanted. She wanted June, they gave her May. We can't force the EU to give us longer, but naturally if there was a vote to remain they'd accept that straight away.

I agree with Andy's analysis, May's even lost her chief whip's confidence and he's being openly critical. That's about as bad as it gets for any PM (or should be).

I think the MV3 will have to happen first, but a no confidence vote next week is a real possibility. May got 63% on December 12th - a lot has changed since then and it's hard to see how she could survive one. Then the Commons could take control and come up with something sensible by April 12th.