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The way I look at it is that everyone has got a power curve, which is related to their speed curve.
You start off riding at maybe 60% of threshold on day 1. Then that % falls each day you ride, until you are just bumping along at maybe 35-40%, and it doesn't really go any lower.
The model I have in my head is getting my threshold power higher at the start so that my whole decay curve, hence my power - and therefore speed - on every day, gets shifted up a few Watts / kmh.
frank9755
skinny
I'm not sure where I would rank being fit/fast is for TCR. I speculate that training will actually help more with recovery during the race rather than just riding quickly.
But given how tired and sore you will feel after a couple days, feeling 'broken' is the one to push as far to the end of the race as you can.