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But how many of these hardcore brexiters exist?
The people that are somewhat in the middle probably swing the vote.
I think that the number of people who thoughtfully favour a WTO brexit hasn't vastly changed. I think that the middle who voted for Brexit have become hardened into an "any Brexit will do" mentality. I think very few of them would have had any inkling that we would be where we are 2+ years after the referendum, but so much of the leave campaign was based on emotional responses ("had enough of experts", "take back control", "project fear") that the actual endpoint isn't important as long as they (nominally) get what the voted for. I really can't see how to reverse this trend since, as the saying goes, you can't reason someone out of a position they didn't reason themselves into.
Good analysis.
But how many of these hardcore brexiters exist?
The people that are somewhat in the middle probably swing the vote.
And the more leave voting NI unionists also have gone more remain now that they realise the DUP is full of it. All polls show a trend towards remain.