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  • It seems to be a common misconception that no deal will just magically happen if the government doesn't do anything.

    What on earth do you mean, 'magically happen'? It's not 'magical' at all - if no one does anything, no deal is agreed upon, and if no deal is agreed upon, there we have the 'no-deal' scenario. It's not an actual 'option', it's the default that happens if nothing else happens, the one option no one has to do anything for. That's the threat of the deadline there.

  • What on earth do you mean, 'magically happen'?

    Not sure, I didn't word that very well :)

    The point was yes you're all quite right and if the government and Parliament literally does nothing at all between now and 29th March there will be a no deal Brexit with no legislation to make it work in practice.

    But politically this is untenable. The Commons is fundamentally an anti-Brexit legislature and they aren't going to sit on their hands between now and March 29th.

    May's current strategy is largely political sabre rattling - she needs to make a no deal Brexit feel like a real and present danger because she wants Parliament to accept her deal (which they aren't going to, because they think it's crap). Apart from the tiny number of 'flatearth brexiteurs' nobody in the commons wants or believes in no deal, so the reality is that's not going to happen either. The power of Parliament has been demonstrated very well a number of times over the past few weeks: May is ultimately not running the show, despite what she might want us to think.

    Yesterday plenty of political commentators - including George Parker from the FT and Katie Balls from the Spectator, for example - were agreed that another referendum is the most likely outcome, but May's deal could take months to die. What worries me is that she could potentially drag it out for so long there's not enough parliamentary time left to clean up the mess, but she might not last that long so we'll see.

  • What worries me is that she could potentially drag it out for so long there's not enough parliamentary time left to clean up the mess, but she might not last that long so we'll see.

    This is the issue, she's trying to play Russian Roulette with leavers telling them it's her deal or no brexit and the remainers it my dealing or no dealing.

    The problem is Labour can't do anything other than a confidence which they'll loss.

    It currently looking like we're going to sleep walk into no deal.

  • Yeah fair enough, I'm not saying Parliament is going to just do nothing. But no deal happening if no one does anything definitely is a very real possibility. I just hope this is not one of those situations where everybody (well, almost everybody) knows it's a terrible outcome, but it ends up happening anyway because of misguided political manoeuvring.

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