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  • I've just finished catching up on this thread after three months of living in Italy and not reading/watching the UK news. Can I check I've got this right?

    May's Brexit is rapidly derailing (cf. yesterday's triple whammy) and it seems less and less likely she'll be able to get her deal which nobody is really happy with (probably including her) through Parliament.

    However. Unfortunately what this means in reality is a hard Brexit is now more likely, unless Brexit doesn't happen at all, which is simultaneously also more likely because Grieve's amendment gives more control back to MPs, but don't hold your breath on that one. It has now clearly been established by someone in Europe that the UK has the right to self-withdraw from Article 5o though, so that's something.

    What remainers therefore have to hope is that somehow MPs will actually make a sensible decision ahead of a hard Brexit and either pull it entirely or take it to the electorate who, seeing what's on offer, will collectively issue a resigned sigh and vote by more than 50% to not take the risk even if they're not exactly enamoured with Europe.

    Meanwhile dashing Sir Keir Starmer (KCB, QC, 56) has pulled off an incredible political feat by getting Parliament to find the government in contempt, but nobody is really sure what this means and there's no actual punishment for it, other than having to perform a rapid public U-turn which Andrea Leadsom is obviously extremely unhappy about because it doesn't fit well with her agenda of reviving her leadership ambitions by upstaging the Prime Minister whenever possible (such as by bringing life into the world). But what it does mean and something which everyone can certainly agree on is that the full legal advice will be published in full, in it's entirety and in it's fullness.

    Nobody has been able to read it yet though because it hasn't been published yet, so nobody knows what the government was trying to hide, or not trying to hide, because nobody has read it yet, making it something of a political Schrödinger's Cat.

    Meanwhile Liam Fox has just said there is a risk MPs might "steal Brexit from the British people" which suggests that he really still doesn't seem to get it, because why would anyone steal something which nobody seems to want.

    Is that about right? I'm not sure what's happened to David Davis (I imagine he's somewhere in Europe in a sticky situation leaving an answerphone message for TM right now) or who the Brexit secretary is.

  • Meanwhile Liam Fox has just said there is a risk MPs might "steal Brexit from the British people" which suggests that he really still doesn't seem to get it, because why would anyone steal something which nobody seems to want.

    Pretty accurate, although regarding this bit: a lot of people still seem to want Brexit. Maybe not enough to win a referendum again but it would still be a close run thing.

  • Indeed. And my reading is that on balance Brexit is still more likely than no Brexit, if seemingly becoming less likely by the day.

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