We've probably gone over this to death, but I think if there were only two options on the ballot: Deal or Remain, then Remain have a chance of winning.
But if it's 3 options: Deal, No Deal or Remain with some sort of transferable vote system, then Deal will probably clinch it.
Some remain voters may not understand deal consequences and vote deal anyway. No idea how large that percentage is, so there's a risk it'll be a split vote.
We've probably gone over this to death, but I think if there were only two options on the ballot: Deal or Remain, then Remain have a chance of winning.
But if it's 3 options: Deal, No Deal or Remain with some sort of transferable vote system, then Deal will probably clinch it.