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  • Yeah food for thought

    going into winter where it will only get worse.

    Don’t necessarily agree with this though. Passenger jobs might dip but they aren’t the bulk of the work at the moment anyway. I imagine they might get even busier with the logistics side of things.

  • Don’t necessarily agree with this though. Passenger jobs might dip but they aren’t the bulk of the work at the moment anyway. I imagine they might get even busier with the logistics side of things.

    It's across all jobs but more so across the delivery work. The passenger work they have is a niche market of basically cycling campaigners and activists who don't mind an amount of being exposed to the elements taking part. The delivery work they can depending on item size compete well against the alternatives of small vans or scooters but that goes straight down the pan as soon as goods are damaged by rain, in the best outcome they spend more on boxes/waterproofs/whatever and it's less profitable in winter but they retain customers, in the worst customers have a bad experience of goods getting wet and don't use them again or vary between them and another service. You also have the overall effect winter has of more riders taking sick days, higher staff turnover as riders get fed up with being out in the elements for days on end, more maintenance on the bikes as they are out in the wet, slower deliveries as it's not as easy to ride fast in the wet, these all eat into profits across winter months.

  • There must be something in that.

    They are expecting their monthly cargo bookings to increase month on month, to be 2x September level in January. But if you look at what they did last year, they grew in Oct and Nov, then Dec was back to Sept levels, and Jan grew a bit to Oct level. It then doubled in March and took off as they got more bikes. That might be a more realistic winter pattern than their forecast.

    Also we had a really mild, dry winter and spring. If it pissed down for days on end this winter, it might be an issue.

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