• The DUP won’t vote for a sea border, no way.

  • Precisely. One can only hope some massive unexpected bombshell comes out of the RHI investigation in NI to implicate Arlene Foster personally in the cover-up activity and take their eyes off the ball. But even then, there’s no chance.

  • Every reasonable person would expect that, certainly. However, this whole process is so deeply irrational, and even more so after May's election blunder, that I wonder if the logical problem that exists over the Irish border issue, which any reasonable person would recognise, won't be dealt with highly illogically. This could mean some sort of fudge that the DUP can just about accept. I don't know what that could be, but I doubt very much that I could comprehend it even if I knew--just look at the silly nonsense May has so far come up with to present to Europe (where it has of course been rejected, but would the DUP behave so predictably?).

    I mean, I obviously hope that reason will prevail and that something comprehensible will happen, but on past form I'm not optimistic. They really, really don't want a general election, the question is just to what lengths they will go to prevent one.

    Of Tory 'rebels', only Ken Clarke can do what he wants. There may be four or five others, plus perhaps some (ex-) 'Labour' Brexiters again (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/oct/17/labour-mp-votes-brexit-deselect). A one-vote majority or something like that? Parliamentary arithmetic does my head in.

    tl;dr--I don't have any idea.

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