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@Dammit
If Boris is the PM fighting the GE in Autumn then I reckon it'll be a Labour+SNP coalition government that takes England and Wales out of the EU, with Scotland remaining and NI given a referendum on re-unification, which on current polls will lead to a single Ireland in 2019:
If UK leaves EU
Yes: 57%
No: 43%
If UK leaves EU with a hard border
Yes: 58%
No: 42%
The UK will be England and Wales, Jersey, Guernsey, Isle of Man. Not sure on the Falklands and Gibralter.