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There is also a noticeable trend in casual labourers sleeping rough or in hostels
Hasn't this been a thing for quite a while (~ ten years) and mostly by choice? Young men who come to work and minimise living costs while they are here. Remember reading that some of the EU rough sleepers who were wrongly deported were here active and working.
I don't know about SE1 specifically, but the trend in London and nationally is, not surprisingly, upwards. It fluctuates throughout the year and people move around for a variety of reasons. There are official counts that are pretty reliable and they tend to coincide with what people see.
There is also a worrying trend of families taking up services aimed at rough sleepers because they are skint and living in food poverty. There is also a noticeable trend in casual labourers sleeping rough or in hostels - we see young men (Lithuanians seem to be prominent where we are) turning up in high-vis vests.
I'll drop you a line.