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There's Ewan as well in the mix, the most aero of the lot of them.
I feel that if Cavendish felt that he wasn't competitive, he would retire, so just the fact that he is racing suggests to me that he can still win big races.
He doesn't bother contesting a sprint these days if he's not likely to win.He has set up a sportive though, which is a close to retirement thing to do.
I think the Epstein barr was probably the turning point, he had phenomenal 2013 (5 giro stages, 2 tour stages, national road race), and 2016 seasons (madison world champ, 4 tour stages, silver olympic medal, silver in worlds), though he didn't win everything like he had at HTC.
He's also got a 2 month old baby, and doesn't appear to have been at his most successful in the years that his kids were born (completely understandable)