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I think the Epstein barr was probably the turning point, he had phenomenal 2013 (5 giro stages, 2 tour stages, national road race), and 2016 seasons (madison world champ, 4 tour stages, silver olympic medal, silver in worlds), though he didn't win everything like he had at HTC.
He's also got a 2 month old baby, and doesn't appear to have been at his most successful in the years that his kids were born (completely understandable)
I did consider Cavendish, but his best years were before Sky, it’s been a long and gradual decline since leaving High Road.