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i am of the opinion he has a fair chance.
Not to be underestimated is the number of piss buckets awaiting on the side of the road
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Put another way if he takes to the start line will he be favourite?
To begin with, probably not I'd say, however we have seen from previous tours (and the giro!), that he is very good at riding himself into form over a couple of weeks.
Glws
pifko
@Zerostar
Assume Froome is allowed to compete at the tour. Does he have any chance at all given recent failed giro/tour double attempts?
Edit. Put another way if he takes to the start line will he be favourite?