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Don't know about this. There are some strong riders further back. Some from this year's IPWR who haven't really shown yet. Think this time last year the front names were Colwill, Anderson, English - none of them finished. E.g: wasn't Heath Ryan running second placed for most of IPWR? And Ryan Flinn (Rhino) finished it well too. Then you have Dalgas (who has done TCR?) etc. Tortoise not hares maybe?
Squaredisk
skinny
It does rather look as if the men's winner will come from the first four, and Tanja Hacker is nearly 130 miles ahead of Simone Bailey (as well as just ahead of Lael Wilcox's marker), so it would be hard to bet against her right now. Obviously, there's always the possibility of someone doing a Simon Yates.