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I find after a certain time of dieting (8ish weeks) it gets horrid with cravings, and yes I track everything, and I have get back to maintenance.
All the dudebros say not to diet for more than 10-12 weeks if you aren't using PEDs, I am going to assume they are on to something.
I do weigh everything though and don't eat too much white bread/other things where you absorb all the calories. So I am calling it "take a break" but maybe I also am making calculating errors.
JWestland
If that is true the next most likely explanation is your calorie expenditure is overestimated.
There's also discrepancies with measured calories and actual but then we're into more than error margins. There was an segment on calorie estimation being off on Trust Me I'm a Doctor or one of the similar Health/Eating shows recently, that touched on this:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/science-reveals-why-calorie-counts-are-all-wrong/ but also how most people underestimate because they simply forget foods or inaccurately measure (sorry, estimate) portions.
I can't remember the show but they discussed various differences in estimated vs. useable calories: https://theconversation.com/why-most-food-labels-are-wrong-about-calories-35081
Then next most likely is your BMR estimate is wrong.