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I'll give @russmeyer s idea a shot. Will eliminate the need for massive spacers and a plastic bracket will be easier to put on an oval tube.
@JesperXT an alternative version of spotters idea is to use a suitable lamp or computer bracket on the NDS chainstay, drill two holes through it and the mudguard and run a zip tie through. I did this on a frame with no chainstay bridge and it held up fine for a few years.