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Interesting to try and probability-weight the various outcomes. I still continue to hope that there's maybe a 10% chance the whole endeavour will be cancelled. Absent that hopefully we agree to pay what we owe (€50-60bn) and get some kind of continuing trade relationship.
As we are all painfully aware, WTO for services does not work.
NickCJ
You can find forecasts to back whatever you want at the moment tbh, we have no real idea of what's going to happen - all we can do is look at the character of those doing the negotiating, and where we've got to so far.
This thread is interesting with regards to how Brexit Britain will be affected by cutting ourselves off from the EU27: https://twitter.com/EmporersNewC/status/923607612846936065