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  • Trump clearly has no idea what he's doing, but his default in any situation is to escalate.

    He can't pre-empt, he can only react to a Nork launch by hitting Pyongyang whilst trying to intercept the Nork missiles, which the multi-layered US defence (from some quick Googling) looks like it may be equal too - but where else might Kim target?

  • Seoul. It would be a major propaganda win for Kim to capture Seoul. Any war he engages in will be mostly land based from the NK side and with Seoul just 35 miles from the border it would make sense for him to do a lightening strike before the US can get effective boots on the ground to stop him.

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