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Do people think a half marathon would be achievable in the new year?
Yes. Definitely if you're already running 10k in under an hour 3 times a week.
I was going 10km in an hour or so 3 times a week (and had been for a month or so) plus the occasional 5km parkrun.
Next week was: 10, 10, 15 (i.e. coalesce the parkrun at 3rd 10km run into one)
Week after: 10, 10, 15 (ditto)
Week after: 10, HM, restHere's an example training plan for a marathon that assumes you can run 10km: https://www.bupa.co.uk/~/media/Images/HealthManagement/PDFs/Intermediate%20marathon_FINAL.ashx
That'd have you doing a HM (at long run pace not race pace) after just 5 weeks (long runs going 13, 14, 16, 19, 21km).
So I am now two months after my initial foray into running. My first run was 2.5km, I am now doing 10km three times a week. Feeling pretty wiped out the day after, but slowly improving. Legs are ok, but generally fatigued, sleepy by mid afternoon. Takes me just under an hour to do the 10km, but pace is very slowly improving.
Obviously I'm nowhere in the same league as some people here, but I'm reasonably happy with my progress, given I'm 40, never ran before, and generally ran on heavy fuel for most of my twenties and thirties...
Do people think a half marathon would be achievable in the new year?