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The temptation might be for them both to sleep short tonight to stretch the gap.
After skinny's observations on sleep from TABR I would think that he'll try and remain consistent until close to the end. Then again I'm strictly an #armchair dotwatcher and you have far more experience at these things than me!
Good question. Depends on how they respond to it.
Bjorn responded very well to being chased on his PBP ride, holding off a peloton of French ex-pros on a 700km break!
Skinny chased extremely well on TCR last year to almost get on the podium from something like 127th place.
The temptation might be for them both to sleep short tonight to stretch the gap. Or even ride through with the promise of a hotel at or near the control tomorrow night.