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Cummings has got to be targeting one or two stages heavily, he's barely turned a pedal in anger, gotta be fresh as a fucking daisy, well as fresh as you could be at this stage of the race. He's got the form as the nationals showed, and he's got the guile as previous wins show. I'd put a small coin down on him getting in the break.
I was looking through the stage profiles and there aren't all that many that seem suited to Cummings, they either pretty much flat or very hilly. Maybe stage 11 will suit him with a long uphill drag.