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Trowel is not a bad shout though we'll likely grab a morning coffee and pub lunch most days, so could drop then. Planning to have one or two campsite nights too for showers etc.
Mate has a tarp I believe.
I've been trial fitting stuff and can get my tent and sleeping mat in the bar bag. Tubes and tools in a bottle holder, so everything else will hopefully fit in the saddle bag. If not I might need to pick up a fuel bag for the top tube. I can really see the merits of a bivvy now when it comes to packing!
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Also, as there's two of you you can share. One takes the bog roll, one takes the toothpaste, that kind of thing.
Liquid soap is a neat product,
https://www.essentialslondon.com/products/soaps/dr-bronner-s-castille-rose-liquid-soap-236ml?gclid=CNzKy46G3tQCFWe77QodslIPKQ#fo_c=762&fo_k=a761a59bc6d611082a74eeef23f2cd52&fo_s=gplauk -
so everything else will hopefully fit in the saddle bag.
Bear in mind that bikepacking style saddlebags rely on being well filled to keep their shape. If there's anything you're likely to need during the day (i.e. any time you're not stopping for the night and fully unpacking), keep it somewhere more easily accessed (e.g. fuel pod, stem cell or similar).
Love that Sunday doesn't even register as a day, post stag touring sounds great, packing list looks good, do you have a small trowel for number 2's, I see you have bog roll. One thing I bought on a trip was a small tarp, didn't weigh much and was good for a quick shelter when it pissed it down or covered the bikes at night, probably more of a luxury, but if your mate is biviying he may already have such a thing!