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  • Well to begin with, Brexit negotiations are supposed to start in 10 days and currently nobody really holds a mandate to conduct them. If we send anyone, they'll operate from a very weakened position and if we don't it just serves the EU an upper hand for when we finally do.

  • I disagree with this upper hand / head to head type assessment of the EU negotiation. I have a great deal of respect for Michel Barnier who has been nothing but concise and clear, if we leave EU and the single market we can not have a better arrangement than we do now. That is the proposal so we will have a worse deal than now. The worrying odds from EU officials that talks would break down and result in no deal were at 60% before the election, I'll take those odds as a world of caution against May's 'strong' position. The media galvanised the Brexiteers into thinking they actually had power. In my eyes a 'weakened' position is wholly beneficial at the moment if it means talks don't break down. My reservations are that someone more caustic than May will take charge and there will be a second GE where Tories get the majority, I reckon by the end of today odds will favour second GE in next year

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