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  • The right have united, UKIP have given their weight to the Tories.

    A lot of UKIP votes are going to Labour.

  • A lot of UKIP votes are going to Labour.

    Is there evidence for this? It would be silly to argue that no past-Ukip voters are voting Labour, but polls seem to show the collapse of Ukip support coinciding with the growth of Tory support.

    I think Labour's growth in the polls is coming from all of the other parties. Ukip is a relatively small part of that.

  • As others have said, I'm not convinced that UKIP votes are going to Labour, particularly in the Northern industrial towns with a large Leave vote.

    From what I've seen there's quite a dilemma on which way to vote.
    Labour aren't popular as Corbyn is seen as a London-centric, metropolitan elite, free movement of people pacifist (although he's starting to turn that around a little).
    Lib Dems aren't popular due to their stance on Brexit.
    Tories aren't popular because there are whole communities who were brought up to never vote Tory (mainly related to Thatcher, the mining strikes, trade unions, etc). However, they have managed to position themselves as the party of hard Brexit which is causing some wavering and a fair number of people to contemplate voting Tory for the first time ever.

    It's hard to see where it's going to go, maybe non-voters, maybe stick with UKIP, maybe back to Labour, maybe break the habit of a lifetime and vote Tory.

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