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  • One of the things I've learned working on data and recommendations for https://www.tactical2017.com is that there are some seats in which the Lib Dems have always been the alternative to the Tories, and that even during the Lib Dem collapse of 2015 Labour were totally unable to make any significant gain in those seats. You can see in some South West seats that Lib Dems lose 18,000+ votes, and yet Labour only gain 2,000 or so.

    There are people who vote Lib Dem who will never vote Labour.

    It would be suicide for the Lib Dems to make a proclamation on day one that they would enter a Labour coalition. Because where the Lib Dem vote is strongest, it's also where sentiment against Labour is low.

    Every party has to say that they won't do a coalition.

    But in the actions of those parties, it's clear that Lib Dems would.

    I re-state the fairly obvious though... Labour have been expelling members who work with others against the Tories. If a coalition is on the cards (and it's way too soon to seriously suggest that) then it is Labour who really need to reflect on whether they are able to form a coalition.

    And that is crazy, because frankly... without SNP and Lib Dems, Labour will not have the numbers to get to Downing Street outside of a coalition. Labour have the most to lose here.

  • The Tactical 2017 site and the whole initiative more generally is a great piece of work. Thanks for all your hard work in putting it together.

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