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I think you're right. But I'd expect a couple of teams to test the others out today, it's a good opportunity to see who has the legs and, more importantly, who hasn't.
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It would be insanity to take the lead this early if he's planning to have a tilt at the TdF too.
He might be forced into racing by other teams if course.
andyp
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@Chalfie
At the risk of being shouted down and also being W R O N G.
It's only day 4, why would he go for it now? Is Etna REALLY all that? Where are the bigger monsters? In the last week (isn't that normal for the Giro - big stuff at the end?)?
He'll race conservatively today.