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Good post, but:
Although Corbyn is unlikely to resign if he loses...
Why do you think that?
I don't see Corbyn as someone who would cling onto power. I see him as someone who honestly believes in what he's trying to accomplish, and believes he has the mandate (from the party) to try to put himself forward. A failure in a general election surely trumps this mandate and I would like to think he'd walk.
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Why do you think that?
I don't see Corbyn as someone who would cling onto power.
He probably thinks that because so far Corbyn has clung onto power despite effectively destroying the Labour party by making them so unelectable nobody things they have a bat in hell's chance of winning this election. That and having personal approval ratings on a par with Donald Trump.
Just going out on a limb there...
I am a long way from being a Corbynista but acknowledge that the only way to do anything at all in this election is to vote Labour. I apppreciate that Labour are likely to lose but this election is not about who will win but the size and nature of the opposition.
It is unlikely that Momentum will be able to enforce reselction of all candidates before the election, although this has been threatened. If they achieved that, they could also achieve a wipe out at this election. As such, the MPs who are returned for Labour will shape the oppostion in the future. Although Corbyn is unlikely to resign if he loses, he will not stay for a full five years. Who replaces him will, largely, be determined by who is returned for Labour.
The Liberals, with the strangely homophobic Farron, are not credible and have shown that they are a party of personal promotion rather than policy. Corbyn, for all his faults, is sincere.
And who knows. One thing that is certain is that we are undergoing a massive political upheaval. Traditional party loyalties are gone. While the polls suggest one thing, in reality, anything could happen. It might be a forlorn hope but there is a scintilla of hope.