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  • I think this election is a big political mistake by May, to add to her having got just about everything important wrong so far. If she wins, she will most likely cause the Conservative Party long-term damage. It's not good for a party to be too dominant.

    It's difficult to speculate about the causes without the inside knowledge she undoubtedly has. It does seem as if her hand was forced by the legal difficulties relating to Conservative election spending in 2015, but it's impossible to say. Her stated reasons for calling the election are certainly utter nonsense.

    Obviously, pace everybody, the timing is bad for Labour. I can imagine they knew this was coming, as their policy activity recently has been more than you'd expect during local elections, leading even to positive comment in the Nuadriag:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/apr/15/corbyn-had-good-week-are-people-ready-to-listen-to-ideas

    Still, I doubt they're really ready (they would have been a lot more ready without last summer's distractions) and I think the chances of a creditable result for them are slim. They can only hope that the claim, which I've seen several times recently in different media, that their policies are popular with a majority of the electorate, is actually true and will have a sufficient impact.

    If May really has some idea that a dominant election result will help her in European elections, she must be completely unaware of how she and the UK are seen in Europe. I doubt that's her real reason, and Labour would do well not to make this election about 'Brexit'. (I doubt they would, anyway.) It's not about that at all, and her suggestion that it is is nothing short of bizarre.

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