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I'm painting him as neither a failure or lucky, he deserved his appointments when McQueen left and obviously has a massive talent at motivating his personal, but, like you implied above this massive shift in style that isn't really being supported by the clubs and that every team he's been in charge of blows up ( because he's so demanding) because of the micro management tends to think that 2019 is a long ways off.
Yes, well done Ireland. They dominated a very good England side and were deserved winners.
Its true that Jones has run teams into the shit and has had things blow up in his face but it is also true that when it's going well for him, it goes really well. He's intense and demanding, that's why he succeeds and that's why he fails. He is undoubtedly succeeding at the moment, he has improved England in every department. The big question is, can he hold it together long enough for the world cup?
Painting him as a failure or a lucky coach is a gross simplification.