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yeah a flappy saddle pack is shit and I'd agree that there'd be way too much space there.
3l too small though?? https://www.alpkit.com/products/kowari
these look smaller too but unhelpfully they don't tell you size
https://bikepack.pl/en/seatbags/21-repack-small.html
Personally I reckon saddle bags are a bit of a faff for everyday use. I'd be tempted by one of these though 13l too big perhaps. Bar bags don't flap though and these a much easier to get on and off. (and only £16)
Hmm, maybe you're right. Although apparently the capacity of the SQR Tour is 16l and that was always pretty full... I suppose it wasn't compressed at all, and there was always room for extra bits if I needed.
So what would you recommend that isn't a chopped up evian bottle? :)
Edit: @psee I found an old comment of yours saying you've got one of those uraltour bags. Are you still using it? How is it?